WACC
PREDICTABILITY
GROWTH WINDOWS
FCF PROJECTION
SENSITIVITY
PER-YEAR CASH FLOWS
| Year | CF | Discount factor | PV | Cumulative PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19.27 | 0.9041 | 17.42 | 17.42 |
| 2 | 21.51 | 0.8174 | 17.58 | 35.00 |
| 3 | 24.01 | 0.7390 | 17.74 | 52.74 |
| 4 | 26.80 | 0.6682 | 17.91 | 70.65 |
| 5 | 29.91 | 0.6041 | 18.07 | 88.72 |
| 6 | 33.39 | 0.5462 | 18.24 | 106.96 |
| 7 | 37.28 | 0.4938 | 18.41 | 125.36 |
| 8 | 41.61 | 0.4464 | 18.58 | 143.94 |
| 9 | 46.45 | 0.4036 | 18.75 | 162.69 |
| 10 | 51.85 | 0.3649 | 18.92 | 181.61 |
| 11 | 53.15 | 0.3299 | 17.53 | 199.14 |
| 12 | 54.47 | 0.2983 | 16.25 | 215.39 |
| 13 | 55.84 | 0.2697 | 15.06 | 230.45 |
| 14 | 57.23 | 0.2438 | 13.95 | 244.41 |
| 15 | 58.66 | 0.2204 | 12.93 | 257.34 |
| 16 | 60.13 | 0.1993 | 11.98 | 269.32 |
| 17 | 61.63 | 0.1802 | 11.11 | 280.43 |
| 18 | 63.17 | 0.1629 | 10.29 | 290.72 |
| 19 | 64.75 | 0.1473 | 9.54 | 300.26 |
| 20 | 66.37 | 0.1332 | 8.84 | 309.10 |
REVERSE DCF
At $991.13, the market implies a stage-1 growth rate of 29.1%.
MARKET IMPLIES
29.1%
YOUR ASSUMPTION
11.6%
DELTA
+17.5pp
If $991.13 is correct and your other inputs (WACC 10.6%, 10+10y, terminal 2.5%) hold, the market needs COST to grow cash flow at 29.1% annually for the next 10 years.