WACC
PREDICTABILITY
GROWTH WINDOWS
FCF PROJECTION
SENSITIVITY
PER-YEAR CASH FLOWS
| Year | CF | Discount factor | PV | Cumulative PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12.55 | 0.8921 | 11.19 | 11.19 |
| 2 | 13.41 | 0.7959 | 10.67 | 21.87 |
| 3 | 14.33 | 0.7100 | 10.18 | 32.05 |
| 4 | 15.32 | 0.6334 | 9.70 | 41.75 |
| 5 | 16.37 | 0.5651 | 9.25 | 51.00 |
| 6 | 17.50 | 0.5041 | 8.82 | 59.82 |
| 7 | 18.70 | 0.4497 | 8.41 | 68.24 |
| 8 | 19.99 | 0.4012 | 8.02 | 76.26 |
| 9 | 21.37 | 0.3579 | 7.65 | 83.91 |
| 10 | 22.84 | 0.3193 | 7.29 | 91.20 |
| 11 | 23.41 | 0.2849 | 6.67 | 97.86 |
| 12 | 23.99 | 0.2541 | 6.10 | 103.96 |
| 13 | 24.59 | 0.2267 | 5.58 | 109.54 |
| 14 | 25.21 | 0.2023 | 5.10 | 114.64 |
| 15 | 25.84 | 0.1804 | 4.66 | 119.30 |
| 16 | 26.48 | 0.1610 | 4.26 | 123.56 |
| 17 | 27.14 | 0.1436 | 3.90 | 127.46 |
| 18 | 27.82 | 0.1281 | 3.56 | 131.02 |
| 19 | 28.52 | 0.1143 | 3.26 | 134.28 |
| 20 | 29.23 | 0.1020 | 2.98 | 137.26 |
REVERSE DCF
At $322.16, the market implies a stage-1 growth rate of 20.1%.
MARKET IMPLIES
20.1%
YOUR ASSUMPTION
6.9%
DELTA
+13.2pp
If $322.16 is correct and your other inputs (WACC 12.1%, 10+10y, terminal 2.5%) hold, the market needs GOOGL to grow cash flow at 20.1% annually for the next 10 years.