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Breakdown · NVDA

NVIDIA

WACC
FCF PROJECTION
SENSITIVITY
PER-YEAR CASH FLOWS
Year CF Discount factor PV Cumulative PV
1 2.24 0.8361 1.87 1.87
2 2.57 0.6991 1.80 3.67
3 2.96 0.5845 1.73 5.40
4 3.40 0.4887 1.66 7.06
5 3.91 0.4086 1.60 8.65
6 4.50 0.3416 1.54 10.19
7 5.17 0.2856 1.48 11.67
8 5.95 0.2388 1.42 13.09
9 6.84 0.1997 1.37 14.45
10 7.87 0.1670 1.31 15.77
11 8.06 0.1396 1.13 16.89
12 8.26 0.1167 0.96 17.86
13 8.47 0.0976 0.83 18.68
14 8.68 0.0816 0.71 19.39
15 8.90 0.0682 0.61 20.00
16 9.12 0.0570 0.52 20.52
17 9.35 0.0477 0.45 20.97
18 9.58 0.0399 0.38 21.35
19 9.82 0.0333 0.33 21.68
20 10.07 0.0279 0.28 21.96
REVERSE DCF

At $205.10, no stage-1 growth rate in [-20%, +50%] produces this price. The market implies growth > 50% — likely a pricing signal (acquisition, bubble, short-term news) rather than a DCF-defensible level.